Slammin706 wrote:
So I have a pretty good grasp of volatility but what I am curious about rookie stats, I'll use a WR for an example. So lets say the WR has 6/18 pass catching and his volatility is 92, does that mean that he could potentially boom to like 50 pass catching but has a high risk of busting? I hope that makes sense.
Vol plays no part AFAIK into whether the player booms or busts. It helps/does determine the amount of the boom or bust. So a player with 92 vol and gets the later round bonus to skills could boom from 6/18 pass catching to eventually 100/100 whereas a player with 40 vol might only boom to 50/50 (made up numbers I don't have any data on how much you can actually expect from vol atm.) Now given how low he is starting it will take several seasons and he still might not ever get to his ceiling but it can happen.
This guy,
https://xfl.myfootballnow.com/player/12843, started from 28/50 pass accuracy in the 2046 preseason, improved to 49/70 by the next preseason, and then 66/87 the following preseason in 2048 before I quit tracking his improvement on his player card. My current thoughts are these late round guys with 100 vol can boom to all 100s in skills but they need a high enough starting point and a large enough gap between their current and future value. A player can reach his future value and the future value will still increase, my peanut brains just feels that a larger gap allows more growth but this guy,
https://xfl.myfootballnow.com/player/13684, capped out his M2M his first two seasons at 77 and 83 before a gap created on its own and now he's a 93/100