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Re: 2030 Rookie Class Volatility Report

By Otterpop
1/01/2020 4:58 am
Sorry I have been out of touch for the pass few months. I was laid off in October and well I have been searching for a new position and my MFN life had to take a back seat. Well that has changed I was offered a position on December 31. So I can relax again and start letting MFN back in..

First up the Average Volatility of each team's rookie class for 2030

Last edited at 1/01/2020 5:00 am

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By bgedgerly
1/01/2020 7:06 am
LSU, Michigan, Clemson, and Washington putting all of their money on black 13.
Last edited at 1/01/2020 7:06 am

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By Lars Bullitt
1/01/2020 2:59 pm
This felt like the right year to go this way.

#1. I'm due for a good camp (That is a dangerous gambling mantra!)
#2. I came into camp not really needing front end starters, so camp busts will not destroy my hopes and dreams.

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By Lars Bullitt
1/02/2020 12:45 am
Lars Bullitt wrote:
This felt like the right year to go this way.

#1. I'm due for a good camp (That is a dangerous gambling mantra!)
#2. I came into camp not really needing front end starters, so camp busts will not destroy my hopes and dreams.



Details on my team page, but here are the results of my best camp in this league:

1. RT Kennedy +7/0. (could not ask for more)
2. SS Pauhkoa +8/+5. Great camp
3. LB Winkler +13/+5. Very solid.
4. FS Oliver +11/+11. Major coup here. Forcing me to move pieces around.
5. DE Ferguson +7/+8. Became a 2nd round talent.
6. LB Wentzel +5/+1. Not bad, but maybe not enough to stick
7. FB Ashworth 0/-22!. A position switch from WR that did not work. My 7th rd pick, so who cares?

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By Otterpop
1/02/2020 12:58 am
Well here is the Average Post Camp Results for each time. Remember this is based on my weights and the average of all rookies on the roster.

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By Lars Bullitt
1/02/2020 3:44 am
Mine looks significantly better now after waiving the 7th rd pick that went -22...

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By vcr5150
1/02/2020 12:19 pm
I apologize for my lack of statistical acuity, but Otterpop would you be so kind to explain what "adjustment" is referring to in your most recent table? My dull head needs some explaining. :-)

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By Otterpop
1/02/2020 12:40 pm
vcr5150 wrote:
I apologize for my lack of statistical acuity, but Otterpop would you be so kind to explain what "adjustment" is referring to in your most recent table? My dull head needs some explaining. :-)


Sorry I couldn't come up with a better wording when I did this last night.

Looking at the Current Adjustment Column for Alabama you see the number 16 that means the average current value for his rookie class went up 16.

Looking at the Max Adjustment Column for Alabama you see the number 1 that means the average Maximum value for his rookies class went up 1.

If you see a number in parenthesis that means the average went down. So you will see (1) under Arizona Max Adjustment that means basically the average of his rookie class went down 1 point.

Hope that helps. Like I said I tried to figure out a better wording last night but I guess I was tired so my brain just didn't work hard enough.

Re: 2030 Draft Class Volatility Report

By vcr5150
1/02/2020 1:03 pm
thanks Otterpop - totally makes sense now. It wasn't your terminology - I just wasn't grasping that you were considering "current" scores as I had blinders on and only thinking in terms of maximum/eventual potential scores.